Hunting Gray Rhinos and Black Swans: Statistical and Machine Learning Models of Political Stability and Terrorism

Hunting Gray Rhinos and Black Swans: Statistical and Machine Learning Models of Political Stability and Terrorism

Authors | Editors: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.); Day, J. (NSI, Inc.); Kuznar, E. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary Strategic surprise, the realization that one’s knowledge and assumptions are wrong and the adversary has an upper hand, is a...
From Isolation to Radicalization: Anti-Muslim Hostility and Support for ISIS in the West

From Isolation to Radicalization: Anti-Muslim Hostility and Support for ISIS in the West

“From Isolation to Radicalization: Anti-Muslim Hostility and Support for ISIS in the West” Speaker: Mitts, T. (Columbia University) Date: 13 November 2019 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Tamar Mitts...
Inequality, Risk Sensitivity, and Grievance in Context – An NSI Aggrieved Populations Analysis

Inequality, Risk Sensitivity, and Grievance in Context – An NSI Aggrieved Populations Analysis

Inequality, Risk Sensitivity, and Grievance in Context – An NSI Aggrieved Populations Analysis Authors | Editors: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.); Kuznar, E. (NSI, Inc.); Aviles, W. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary Success in the global competition between the US, China, and...
Inequality, Risk Sensitivity, and Grievance in Context – An NSI Aggrieved Populations Analysis

Statistical Modeling of Risk and Political Instability in the Influence Environment – An NSI Aggrieved Populations Analysis

Statistical Modeling of Risk and Political Instability in the Influence Environment – An NSI Aggrieved Populations Analysis Authors | Editors: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.); Kuznar, E. (NSI, Inc.); Aviles, W. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary Success in the global competition...
Socio-Political Stability in Syria and Iraq

Socio-Political Stability in Syria and Iraq

Options to Facilitate Socio-Political Stability in Syria and Iraq. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc) & Cabayan, H. (Joint Staff). This White Paper presents the analytic results from Strategic Multi-layer Assessment (SMA) project touching on the...
Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia (Integration)

Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia (Integration)

Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years — Integration Report. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). Evaluating strategic risk in the Eurasia region over the next two to three decades is a complex challenge that is vital for USEUCOM...